Local site effects in Atakoy, Istanbul, Turkey, due to a future large earthquake in the Marmara Sea


SORENSEN M. B. , OPRSAL I., BONNEFOY-CLAUDET S., ATAKAN K., MAI P. M. , PULIDO N., ...Daha Fazla

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL, cilt.167, ss.1413-1424, 2006 (SCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi) identifier identifier

  • Cilt numarası: 167 Konu: 3
  • Basım Tarihi: 2006
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1111/j.1365-246x.2006.03204.x
  • Dergi Adı: GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1413-1424

Özet

Since the 1999 Izmit and Duzce earthquakes in northwest Turkey, many seismic hazard studies have focused on the city of Istanbul. An important issue in this respect is local site effects: strong amplifications are expected at a number of locations due to the local geological conditions. In this study we estimate the local site effects in the Atakoy area (southwestern Istanbul) by applying several techniques using synthetic data (hybrid 3-D modelling and 1-D modelling) and comparing to empirical data. We apply a hybrid 3-D finite-difference method that combines a complex source and wave propagation for a regional 1-D velocity model with site effects calculated for a local 3-D velocity structure. The local velocity model is built from geological, geotechnical and geomorphological data. The results indicate that strongest spectral amplifications (SA) in the Atakoy area occur around 1 Hz and that amplification levels are largest for alluvial sites where SA reaching a factor of 1.5-2 can be expected in the case of a large earthquake. We also compare our results to H/V (horizontal to vertical component of the recorded signal) spectral ratios calculated for microtremor data recorded at 30 sites as well as to ambient noise synthetics simulated using a 1-D approach. Because the applied methods complement each other, they provide comprehensive and reliable information about the local site effects in Atakoy. Added to that, our results have significant implications for the southwestern parts of Istanbul built on similar geological formations, for which, therefore, similar SA levels are expected.