Comparisons of the alternative biased estimators for the distributed lag models


GÜLER H., GÜLTAY B. , KAÇIRANLAR S.

COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, cilt.46, ss.3306-3318, 2017 (SCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi) identifier identifier

  • Cilt numarası: 46 Konu: 4
  • Basım Tarihi: 2017
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/03610918.2015.1053919
  • Dergi Adı: COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.3306-3318

Özet

The finite distributed lag models include highly correlated variables as well as lagged and unlagged values of the same variables. Some problems are faced for this model when applying the ordinary least squares (OLS) method or econometric models such as Almon and Koyck models. The primary aim of this study is to compare performances of alternative estimators to the OLS estimator defined by combining the Almon estimator with some estimators using Almon (1965) data. A simulation study with different model parameters is performed and the estimators are compared according to the root mean square error (RMSE) and prediction mean square error (PMSE).